Something very interesting has happened even without you realising it.

We spend years believing consistency is built by finding better entries, improving risk management or discovering a strategy with a higher win rate, while quietly carrying thousands of unresolved emotional experiences from previous trades into every decision we make. The charts change every day. The market participants change every day. The economic environment changes every year. But the lens through which you interpret a…

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This title probably sounds ridiculous coming from someone who’s been trading for six years, especially because if you asked me what I’ve spent most of those years doing, I’d probably answer with things that sound very “intelligent.” I’ve manually backtested thousands of trades, collected an unhealthy amount of data, refined my execution over and over again and spent countless hours trying to understand why markets behave the way they do. From the outside, it would be easy to assume that profitability came from becoming smarter.

The funny thing is that I don’t think that’s true anymore.

If I had to point to one reason why I eventually became profitable, it would be probably because I slowly stopped trying to prove that I understood it at all. Somewhere along the journey, I accepted that the market is simply too complex for me to explain every move, and the moment I stopped demanding certainty from it, trading ac…

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Lately I’ve been thinking a lot about goals, which is funny because if you know me, you’ll know I’m probably the last person who should be questioning them. I’ve always been someone who needs something difficult to work towards. Whether it was becoming profitable, passing funded challenges, growing a business, traveling on low budget or more recently starting completely new hobbies, I’ve always had something sitting on the horizon that made me excited to wake up the next morning.

For a long time, I thought that was simply how ambitious people were supposed to live. You reach one destination, celebrate it for a moment and immediately start looking for the next mountain to climb. That’s how progress happens, right? The problem is that after living this way for years, I started noticing something that made me a little uncomfortable.

Every goal feels life-changing before you reach it.

Almost every goal feels surpris…

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When I started trading, I genuinely believed that profitability would change much more than it actually did. I imagined that once I became successful enough, people would finally understand why I spent so many hours staring at charts, why I disappeared on weekends to backtest and why I was willing to spend years pursuing something that most people around me considered either impossible or straight-up gambling.

I think a lot of traders secretly believe this, even if they don’t admit it out loud. It’s not necessarily because they want attention or because they want to show off. Most of the time it’s much simpler than that. They want validation. They want proof that all the effort was worth it. They want the people who doubted them to finally understand. They want family members who questioned their decisions to change their minds. They want friends to respect what they do. They want some kind of acknowledgement …

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Every trader knows they should wait for the right setup. Most traders cannot. The gap between knowing and doing is not a knowledge problem. It is a structural problem — one that willpower addresses poorly and written process addresses well.

The cost of impatience in trading is direct and measurable. Every trade taken outside the strategy’s defined criteria is a sample drawn from a different distribution than the one the strategy was designed to exploit. That sample may win or lose in any individual instance, but over a large number of such trades it will produce worse expectancy than the on-criteria trades, because the criteria were designed precisely to identify the situations where the strategy’s edge is present. A trade taken because the session has been quiet and something needs to happen is not a setup. It is an activity substitute, and it costs money with the reliability of a tax.

What makes the patience problem genuinely difficult is that it operates through mechanisms that are n…

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None of those factors are accurate representations of reality. The market does not know or care about the previous trade. The probability that any specific setup works is not altered by the outcome of the trade that preceded it. The urgency to recover is a product of emotional pain, not of genuine opportunity. The trade that feels most compelling in the minutes after a stop-out is almost never the trade that the written strate…

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When the assumption breaks down — when positions move together because they are driven by the same underlying factor — the math changes entirely. Five correlated positions at one percent each can produce five percent losses not just when all five are wrong, but whenever the shared underlying factor moves against them. The individual position limits mean nothing if the positions themselves are not independent. The risk model l…

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Most traders review their trades the way most people assess their own driving — they conclude they are above average, their mistakes were situational, and their successes were the product of skill. The journal becomes a document that confirms what the trader already believes rather than one that reveals what is actually happening.

This is not a character flaw. It is a structural problem. A review process that produces biased conclusions does so because it is designed, usually unintentionally, to allow bias in. The trader reviews outcomes rather than decisions. They remember what happened differently from how it actually occurred. They apply different standards of scrutiny to winning trades and losing trades. They focus on the trades that stand out rather than on the statistical patterns that only appear across a large sample. Each of these tendencies has a predictable direction, and that direction is always toward flattering the trader’s self-image at the expense of accurate diagnosis.

…

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Most traders treat the watchlist as a collection of names they are interested in. Professional traders treat it as the output of a structured filtering process that narrows the entire market down to the specific situations where their edge has the highest probability of being present. Those are not the same thing.

The distinction matters more than it initially appears. A watchlist built from general interest, recent news flow, or social media attention produces a list of tickers with varying degrees of relevance to the trader’s actual setup criteria. Some will be genuinely actionable. Most will not. The trader spends the session monitoring a mixture of real opportunities and noise, unable to clearly separate the two until after the session is over and the opportunity has already passed.

A watchlist built from a structured filtering process arrives at the session ready. Every name on it has already passed through a sequence of criteria that align with the trader’s specific edge. The setu…

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The difference between those two things is the difference between a career and an expensive hobby.

Ask a trader to describe their setup and they will usually tell you something about a chart pattern, a moving average, or a zone they are watching. Ask them to define the exact conditions that must be present before they enter, where their stop goes and why, and what market environment their setup requires to work, and the answer becomes substantially less clear. That lack of clarity is not a minor gap. It is the central problem.

A real setup is not a visual pattern. It is a documented, testable hypothesis about participant behavior, expressed as a precise set of conditions that can be repeated under the same rules and measured over a large sample. Without that precision, the trader is not executing a system. They are reacting to the chart in real time and constructing a post-hoc rationale that sounds systematic but is not.

This newsletter is about what a real setup actually contains, why m…

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This article is a deep, actionable guide to understanding what actually creates a real edge in trading.

It brings together the core principles of professional speculation: probabilistic thinking, expected value, structured setups, risk control, execution discipline, and the role of discretion.

It’s my hope that this framework helps traders stop treating markets like a prediction game and start approaching them like a repeatable statistical business.

With all that out of the way, let’s begin!

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Life, markets, business - they are not built for comfort or precision. They are built for stress. Sometimes you might tend to think that volatility is an anomaly. But volatility is present by default. After that you focus more on removing uncertainty instead of positiong yourself so uncertainty works for you - yes I get it. Uncertainty is not something we have been built for, but if you want to be trader, you have to live with it.

That’s the core idea of Game of Asymmetry.

Predicting future will not help you, even if you could do that, but surviving in irrational and unpredictable space can do pretty good job.

If you are too fragile - you will break under the stress.
Robustness is the way to really be able to go risk on other trade, even if you lost money before.
And anti-fragile people grow because of this ability.

You might not realise that, but you might be unknowingly designing fragile systems. You optimize for

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Sometimes I feel like I don’t quite fit into society. No matter how much I try, I always end up being different - not in a way that’s forced or intentional, but simply because it’s who I am. The way I live, the way I think, and the way I see things often don’t match the standards people follow. And over time, I’ve learned to accept that maybe I’m not meant to fit in perfectly.

I’ve always lived a simple, minimalistic life. I don’t need much to feel content. Most people chase comfort through possessions - cars, clothes, gadgets, bigger homes - but I’ve realised that the more you own, the more those things end up owning you. They demand your attention, your time, your maintenance, your care. Every possession becomes another invisible chain tying you to the ground.

Minimalism, for me is about clarity. It’s about understanding what truly matters and removing everything that distracts you from it. When you live th…

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